Calum Brown

Calum Brown researches the processes that cause change in land management and ecosystems. He uses statistical and computational methods to try and understand these processes, and to explore how they might develop in the future. His background is in physics and ecology, and his PhD was on the ecology of tropical rainforests. He still works on forest ecology, but now mainly focuses on human land use and its interactions with climate change. This work involves modelling the ways in which land management decisions are made, attempting to build on knowledge of underlying social and environmental processes.

Telephone: +49 8821 183 190

Publications Calum Brown

Brown, C.; Alexander, P.; Arneth, A.; Holman, I.; Rounsevell, M.
Achievement of Paris climate goals unlikely due to time lags in the land system.
2019. Nature climate change. doi:10.1038/s41558-019-0400-5
Synes, N. W.; Brown, C.; Palmer, S. C. F.; Bocedi, G.; Osborne, P. E.; Watts, K.; Franklin, J.; Travis, J. M. J.
Coupled land use and ecological models reveal emergence and feedbacks in socio-ecological systems.
2018. Ecography. doi:10.1111/ecog.04039
Huber, R.; Bakker, M.; Balmann, A.; Berger, T.; Bithell, M.; Brown, C.; Grêt-Regamey, A.; Xiong, H.; Le, Q. B.; Mack, G.; Meyfroidt, P.; Millington, J.; Müller, B.; Polhill, J. G.; Sun, Z.; Seidl, R.; Troost, C.; Finger, R.
Representation of decision-making in European agricultural agent-based models [in press].
2018. Agricultural systems, 167, 143–160. doi:10.1016/j.agsy.2018.09.007
Asefa, M.; Brown, C.; Cao, M.; Zhang, G.; Ci, X.; Sha, L.; Li, J.; Lin, L.; Yang, J.
Contrasting effects of space and environment on functional and phylogenetic dissimilarity in a tropical forest.
2018. Journal of plant ecology, 12 (2), 314–326. doi:10.1093/jpe/rty026
Shao, X.; Brown, C.; Worthy, S. J.; Liu, L.; Cao, M.; Li, Q.; Lin, L.; Swenson, N. G.
Intra-specific relatedness, spatial clustering and reduced demographic performance in tropical rainforest trees.
2018. Ecology letters. doi:10.1111/ele.13086
Blanco, V.; Holzhauer, S.; Brown, C.; Lagergren, F.; Vulturius, G.; Lindeskog, M.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
The effect of forest owner decision-making, climatic change and societal demands on land-use change and ecosystem service provision in Sweden.
2017. Ecosystem Services, 23, 174–208. doi:10.1016/j.ecoser.2016.12.003
Brown, C.; Alexander, P.; Holzhauer, S.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
Behavioral models of climate change adaptation and mitigation in land-based sectors.
2017. Wiley interdisciplinary reviews / Climate change, 8 (2), Art.Nr. e448. doi:10.1002/wcc.448
Blanco, V.; Brown, C.; Holzhauer, S.; Vulturius, G.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
The importance of socio-ecological system dynamics in understanding adaptation to global change in the forestry sector.
2017. Journal of environmental management, 196, 36–47. doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2017.02.066
Alexander, P.; Brown, C.; Arneth, A.; Finnigan, J.; Moran, D.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
Losses, inefficiencies and waste in the global food system.
2017. Agricultural systems, 153, 190–200. doi:10.1016/j.agsy.2017.01.014Full text Full text of the publication as PDF document
Blanco Gonzalez, V.; Holzhauer, S.; Brown, C.; Rounsevell, M.
A model of environmental institutions and their adaptive actions in the Swedish forestry sector.
2016. Environmental science & policy 
Otto, J.; Brown, C.; Buontempo, C.; Doblas-Reyes, F.; Jacob, D.; Juckes, M.; Keup-Thiel, E.; Kurnik, B.; Schulz, J.; Taylor, A.; Verhoelst, T.; Walton, P.
Uncertainty: Lessons Learned for Climate Services.
2016. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97 (12), ES265–ES269. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0173.1
Alexander, P.; Brown, C.; Arneth, A.; Finnigan, J.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
Human appropriation of land for food : The role of diet.
2016. Global environmental change, 41, 88–98. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.09.005
Alexander, P.; Prestele, R.; Verburg, P. H.; Arneth, A.; Baranzelli, C.; Batista e Silva, F.; Brown, C.; Butler, A.; Calvin, K.; Dendoncker, N.; Doelman, J. C.; Dunford, R.; Engström, K.; Eitelberg, D.; Fujimori, S.; Harrison, P. A.; Hasegawa, T.; Havlik, P.; Holzhauer, S.; Humpenöder, F.; Jacobs-Crisioni, C.; Jain, A. K.; Krisztin, T.; Kyle, P.; Lavalle, C.; Lenton, T.; Liu, J.; Meiyappan, P.; Popp, A.; Powell, T.; Sands, R. D.; Schaldach, R.; Stehfest, E.; Steinbuks, J.; Tabeau, A.; van Meijl, H.; Wise, M. A.; Rounsevell, M. D. A.
Assessing uncertainties in land cover projections.
2016. Global change biology, 23 (2), 767–781. doi:10.1111/gcb.13447
Brown, C.; Brown, E.; Murray-Rust, D.; Cojocaru, G.; Savin, C.; Rounsevell, M.
Analysing uncertainties in climate change impact assessment across sectors and scenarios.
2015. Climatic change, 128 (3-4), 293–306. doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1133-0
Blanco, V.; Brown, C.; Rounsevell, M.
Characterising forest owners through their objectives, attributes and management strategies.
2015. European journal of forest research, 134 (6), 1027–1041. doi:10.1007/s10342-015-0907-x
Magliocca, N. R.; van Vliet, J.; Brown, C.; Evans, T. P.; Houet, T.; Messerli, P.; Messina, J. P.; Nicholas, K. A.; Ornetsmüller, C.; Sagebiel, J.; Schweizer, V.; Verburg, P. H.; Yu, Q.
From meta-studies to modeling: Using synthesis knowledge to build broadly applicable process-based land change models.
2015. Environmental modelling & software, 72, 10–20. doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.06.009
Brown, C.; Murray-Rust, D.; Vliet, J. van; Alam, S. J.; Verburg, P. H.; Rounsevell, M. D.
Experiments in Globalisation, Food Security and Land Use Decision Making.
2014. PLoS one, 9 (12), Art.Nr. e114213. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0114213Full text Full text of the publication as PDF document
Murray-Rust, D.; Brown, C.; van Vliet, J.; Alam, S. J.; Robinson, D. T.; Verburg, P. H.; Rounsevell, M.
Combining agent functional types, capitals and services to model land use dynamics.
2014. Environmental modelling & software, 59, 187–201. doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.05.019
Brown, C.; Burslem, D. F. R. P.; Illian, J. B.; Bao, L.; Brockelman, W.; Cao, M.; Chang, L. W.; Dattaraja, H. S.; Davies, S.; Gunatilleke, C. V. S.; Gunatilleke, I. A. U. N.; Huang, J.; Kassim, A. R.; LaFrankie, J. V.; Lian, J.; Lin, L.; Ma, K.; Mi, X.; Nathalang, A.; Noor, S.; Ong, P.; Sukumar, R.; Su, S. H.; Sun, I. F.; Suresh, H. S.; Tan, S.; Thompson, J.; Uriarte, M.; Valencia, R.; Yap, S. L.; Ye, W.; Law, R.
Multispecies coexistence of trees in tropical forests: spatial signals of topographic niche differentiation increase with environmental heterogeneity.
2013. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London / B, 280 (1764), 20130502. doi:10.1098/rspb.2013.0502
Brown, C.; Mcmorran, R.; Price, M. F.
Rewilding – A New Paradigm for Nature Conservation in Scotland?.
2012. Scottish geographical journal, 127 (4), 288–314. doi:10.1080/14702541.2012.666261
Brown, C.; Law, R.; Illian, J. B.; Burslem, D. F. R. P.
Linking ecological processes with spatial and non-spatial patterns in plant communities.
2011. Journal of ecology, 99 (6), 1402–1414. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2745.2011.01877.x